Tebow and McGahee form the best ground game in football, and look for revenge on the road in a rematch. Last time they got out to an early lead, but they appeared over-matched because of the turnover battle. If they can play sound football offensively, their running game will aid the passing game with 3rd and short situations. The plan here is to keep Tom Brady and the Patriots offense off the field by running the clock and moving the ball on a defense that allows the 2nd most yards. Defensively, Dumervil and Miller should take advantage of an injured offensive line and move Brady out of his comfort zone.
Belichick is known for being a defensive guru. Anytime you win a turnover battle, you can expect to be in the game if not win it, more times than not. Especially with a leader like Brady, the other team has little chance if this defense can forced a mistake or 2. Offensively they can score with the bets of them, and it’s not easy to tackle Gronkowski and Hernandez, while havin to account for Welker. The Broncos have a mediocre defense, and New England should have success on the ground
Denver is one of the worst passing teams, and they are up against the Patriots, one of the worst pass defenses. Expect somewhere in between as far as production goes. I doubt the Broncos turn the ball over 3 times inside their own 20-yard line, but I also doubt their ability to contain Tom Brady defensively. They will need to run the ball, convert on 3rd downs, and score touchdowns not field goals. That’s asking a lot, and I have to roll with a Belichick-run defense against a quarterback making his 16th start. They haven’t won a playoff game in a few years, but it helps to have a future Hall of Fame quarterback playing at home.
Prediction: Patriots 31, Broncos 24